RFID and Disruptive Innovation
Companies developing an RFID strategy need to understand whether the technology will support the way they do business—or change it entirely, says author Michael E. Raynor.
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Determining how best to manage the product and process innovations that RFID makes possible, and in some cases demands, requires a solid theory of innovation. “Theory” for many managers is a dreaded word. But a good theory can explain causal relationships, which helps managers to not only predict but control the outcomes that interest them.
What emerges from a theory-based analysis of RFID is that for some companies, no matter how tumultuous the changes required to incorporate RFID into their business, there’s little to be concerned about: Established processes for incorporating innovation will do just fine. For others, however, RFID represents the kind of secular change that could reorder the industry leaders, depriving powerful incumbents of much-needed growth and perhaps even undermining their business altogether. Worse still, who needs to worry and who doesn’t is likely to be the inverse of what many analysts and commentators have suggested.
The reason for this topsy-turvy world is that RFID is “merely” a technological breakthrough. Innovations of any type realize their true value only when embedded in specific business models. And it turns out that RFID has many different applications. Some simply make it possible to do better the very things companies have been trying to do all along. But some promise change of an entirely different sort. Understanding the differences, and what to do about them, is critical to the success of both users and vendors of RFID technology.
Disruption theory has proved a powerful way to understand the effects of an innovation on a market. The theory is based on a distinction between sustaining and disruptive innovations, each of which has very different characteristics that, in turn, have profound implications on how best to implement and commercialize that innovation. The process of disruption is summarized in the chart below.
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