By Claire Swedberg
Aug. 26, 2010—Due to an increase in
RFID deployments across numerous sectors, following a recession that forced many
reader, component and
chip manufacturers to reduce production in 2009, integrators and end users are now finding readers, printers and tags harder to come by. In fact, interrogators that typically took four to five weeks to obtain in the past now require twice that amount of time—or as much as 14 weeks after being ordered.
Those numbers can be expected to get worse before they get better, according to Bret Kinsella, who oversees operations, marketing and sales at
ODIN, who recently blogged about the issue (see
Is there a looming RFID Reader Shortage?). The growing demand, he says, has meant that many RFID hardware manufacturers are ramping up production, but the back orders for readers, printers and tags will require another several quarters before the order time for hardware requested by systems integrators and end users is likely to begin returning to the levels of 2009 and earlier.
|
|
Ingram Micro's Justin Scopaz
|
The shortage is being felt both on the RFID reader and
printer sides, as well as with tags, and means that ODIN and other integrators that install RFID systems are forced to make their customers wait to receive their orders. There are multiple reasons for the shortage, one of which is this year's spike in demand. The most high-profile cause for this spike has been
Wal-Mart's effort to begin tagging its apparel, beginning with men's jeans and undergarments (see
Wal-Mart Relaunches EPC RFID Effort, Starting With Men's Jeans and Basics).
An even bigger driver behind the increase in orders for RFID hardware, however, has been the multitude of smaller, unannounced deployments that have added up to the largest demand to date for RFID tags and hardware. "There's a broader market adoption that isn't being reported," Kinsella explains, "because, though they spend only a couple million dollars each, they have a combined impact." He cites the military, retail, aerospace and health-care industries as the largest adopters in recent months to put pressure on RFID manufacturers.
One source of the problem, Kinsella notes, is a shortage of components. During the recession, component manufacturers hoarded materials or exhausted existing inventory in order to keep costs down, or opted not to increase their production capacity. Consequently, these companies are currently unable to keep up with the demand. The result is that many RFID hardware manufacturers are now stymied by a lack of components required to make handheld or fixed readers, as well as RFID printers and encoders. In other cases, those components are available, but the sheer number of orders placed in the middle of 2010, following the previous year's slowdown, has forced RFID hardware manufacturers to go into catch-up mode.
"RFID demand has definitely risen dramatically this year," says Scot Stelter, the senior director of product marketing at RFID technology manufacturer
Impinj. "We see higher use in specific applications, like apparel inventory tracking, as well as a growing list of new applications coming online." Stelter says his company will provide substantially more RFID chips to customers this year than it did in 2009, adding that "sales for all of our RFID product families are up."
The uptick in RFID adoption, Stelter points out, is occurring at a time when the semiconductor industry, in general, is experiencing the strongest demand in its history. "We anticipated this early on, and have worked hard to minimize the impact on our customers," he states. "On the
tag chip side of our business, we have seen increased lead times from our suppliers, but as a well-respected customer, we have been able to negotiate better terms." Impinj has been working closely with foundries, he says, to ensure the greatest possible supply of RFID chips for tags.
READERS' COMMENTS
The next wave is the Tsunami
Bret's last two blogs ( http://bit.ly/9s30gR ) point out the issues that we are having getting tags and readers, as well as antennas, cables,etc. Claire points out several of the reasons above but what is most torubling from the supply side is the next wave. We are 12-18 months away from the consumer adoption of RFID. The early adopters like Vail resorts are going to lead the way, but soon this will drive significant demand and require specific performance that is not availble today. New R&D and new manufacturing will mean delays all over the indsutry. HW manufactures need to get ahead of the curve and start investing today to prepare for not only the current B2B demand but the future consumer demand.
Posted By: P. Sweeney 8/28/2010 at 9:59:11 AM